Commodity NCDEX News

On Wednesday (31 October 2012), the cotton refined oilinched up by Rs 2 to Rs 700 for 10 kg in the edible oils market taking a total rise of Rs 85 in the last 25 days. Lower arrivals of new cotton crop and expectation of lower production this year pushed up price higher.

Groundnut, soyabean and sunflower oil ruled steady. Rapeseed/ mustard oil and palmolein oil declined by Rs 5 and Rs 2 each on eased physical demand and weak futures.

According to the Bombay Commodity Exchange, the spot rates were (Rs/10 kg): groundnut oil 1,140 (1,140), soya refined oil 675 (675), sunflower exp. ref. 675 (680), sunflower ref. 725 (725), rapeseed ref. oil 845 (850), rapeseed expeller ref. 815 (820) cotton ref. oil 700 (698) and palmolein 521 (523).

Commodity Tips

China’s slowing economy could have grave consequences for Gold Prices. A slowdown in China augurs for lower inflation or perhaps even deflation and higher real rates which drastically tighten the money supply & movement which all boils down to being highly negative for Gold Futures prices. China GDP grew 7.4% in the third quarter, matching analyst estimates, slowing from 7.6% in the second quarter and 8.1% in the first. Industrial production rose 9.2% as against the 9% expectations. China’s GDP reached 35.35 trillion yuan (5.61 trillion U.S. dollars) in the first three quarters. China’s stocks rose, driving the benchmark index to a five-week high, after Premier Wen Jiabao said the economy has started to stabilize and industrial production and retail sales data beat estimates. Wen said the government is confident of achieving annual targets and the Chinese Economy will continue to show “positive changes,” the Xinhua News Agency reported. China’s industrial value-added output grew 10% year-on-year in the first nine months of 2012. The Shanghai Composite has rebounded 6.4% since reaching a three-year low on Sept. 26 on expectations regulators will introduce measures to stabilize the market ahead of a once- in-a-decade power transition of the Communist Party in November. The gauge is still down 3.1% this year and trades at 10 times estimated earnings, compared with the 17.9 average since Bloomberg began compiling the weekly data in 2006. Today’s data in China followed reports showing exports exceeded forecasts in September and money supply grew at the fastest pace in 15 months. Inflation last month was close to the slowest pace in two years and producer prices fell the most since 2009, government data showed on Oct. 15, giving authorities more room to ease policy.

MCX Crude Oil News

MCX Crude oil futures are trading with steady gains today as the global WTI futures consolidated above $92 per barrel.. The global equities are in a positive mode today on strong US industrial output numbers and reports that Spain is mulling a request for a line of credit from the European Union. Euro jumped to near one month high above 1.3100 levels against the US dollar today and the WTI futures are quoting at $92.36, up 28 cents per barrel on the day.

In economic news, US industrial output rebounded a bit in September after a steep drop in the prior month when Hurricane Isaac took a toll on oil output, the Federal Reserve reported Tuesday. US industrial output edged up 0.4% in September after a revised 1.4% drop in the prior month, originally reported as a 1.2% decline.

The US stocks rallied impressively last night and helped WTI futures scale up from its lows. The counter is quoting up above $92 per barrel right now as the European markets trade with little gains. MCX Crude oil futures are trading at Rs 4881, up Rs 22 per barrel on the day, with a 9.80% gain in the open interest. The prices have been almost stagnant during afternoon trades.

Commodity Tips Updates

Commodity Tips Updates :-

MCX Gold Futures traders are the most bullish in three weeks as investors’ bullion holdings expanded to a record after central banks pledged to do more to spur economic growth. Investors are holding the highest ever through Gold ETF, gold-backed exchange-traded products after buying 85.4 metric tons last month, the most since July 2011. Hedge funds’ bets on a rally are the biggest in seven months as they have more than doubled their net-long position since Aug. 14 to the most since Feb. 28, U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission – CFTC data show. Investors added 208.7 tons to ETPs since the start of January, data compiled by Bloomberg show. ETP holdings reached a record 2,565.5 tons yesterday, valued at $146.9 billion, data show. Inflation is bound to shoot up in the future because of mega quantitative easing and the amount of debt that’s got in the system. Some investors buy bullion as a hedge against inflation and a weaker dollar, and Gold Futures generally earn returns only through price gains, increasing its allure as interest rates decline. The Fed said Sept. 13 it will probably hold the federal funds rate near zero until at least the middle of 2015. Inflation expectations measured by the break-even rate for five- year Treasury Inflation Protected Securities jumped 46 % this year and reached a 16-month high on Sept. 17. Gold is 7.3% below the record $1,921.15 reached in September 2011 and its average so far this year is set to be the highest ever. Gold Prices reached all-time highs in euros, Swiss francs and South African rand this week.

Sales of American Eagle gold coins by the U.S. Mint jumped 76% to 68,500 ounces last month, the most since January, data on its website show. UBS AG said yesterday its physical gold sales on Oct. 3 to India, last year’s biggest buyer, were the most since April. Indian consumers usually accelerate purchases before the wedding season and religious festivals later this year.

While demand from India will be “strong” in the third and fourth quarters, overall consumption will slump 25 % to about 750 tons this year, Marcus Grubb, managing director of investment research at the World Gold Council, told reporters in London on Oct. 3. Buying retreated this year amid surging local prices and as jewelers held a strike in March and April to protest government taxes on imports. Gold Futures rallied about 8.4 % since moving above its 200-day moving average in August. Other technical indicators are signaling prices may be poised to decline. Bullion’s 14-day relative-strength index was at 67.6 today, near the level of 70 that indicates to some analysts who study such charts that a drop in prices may be imminent.